Is this the end of the bull market... or is the best yet to come? 👀
The economy grows… the economy contracts… the economy grows… the economy contracts…
This process has a name – the business cycle.
The good news?
If you buy strong assets at the beginning of the growth phase (blue line) and sell when contraction starts (red line) – you can secure solid profits.
The key: patience and timing (as much as possible).
Even better news?
Over the past decade, these cycles have been almost “like clockwork” – each phase (growth/contraction) lasting around 2 years. Looking back – 2013, 2017, 2021 – crypto peaks lined up exactly there.
Of course, you can’t catch the absolute bottom or the exact top. But if you’re “in the right direction,” the tool is invaluable.
The bad news?
This model of 2 years up / 2 years down (which predicted a market peak at the end of 2025) no longer works.
And the best news?
This actually delays the peak! According to more and more analysts, the cycle is shifting:
Conservative scenario: instead of a peak at the end of 2025, we could see it around Q2 2026.
Ultra-bullish scenario: a peak in late 2026 or even Q1 2027.
And this isn’t just speculation. “The Godfather of Global Liquidity” Michael Howell also sees a peak in the first half of 2026. The Real Vision team and Raoul Pal are even more bullish – they believe the business cycle could stretch into 2027.
📊 ISM PMI data (which often predicts peaks and bottoms) also point toward Q1 2027.
What does this mean for us?
We don’t believe the crypto market has reached its peak.
On the contrary – it looks like the period of new highs has been extended by at least another year.
In other words: the party isn’t over. 🥳
Maybe it’s only just beginning.